Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.154877 0.174120 0.194216 0.216714 0.241145 0.266819 0.295786
2025-01-26 0.128627 0.154627 0.183118 0.216476 0.254275 0.295592 0.343981
2025-02-02 0.112923 0.143824 0.179101 0.221964 0.272230 0.328909 0.397227
2025-02-09 0.098004 0.131799 0.171877 0.222239 0.283131 0.353672 0.440826
2025-02-16 0.087389 0.123531 0.167891 0.225321 0.296626 0.381163 0.487805
2025-02-23 0.080651 0.119218 0.168021 0.232863 0.315220 0.414785 0.542579
2025-03-02 0.071057 0.110112 0.161132 0.230747 0.321219 0.432744 0.578355
2025-03-09 0.063725 0.103253 0.156448 0.230825 0.329514 0.453300 0.617379
2025-03-16 0.056921 0.096415 0.151142 0.229494 0.335537 0.470749 0.652523
2025-03-23 0.052986 0.093303 0.150605 0.234316 0.349521 0.498439 0.700988
2025-03-30 0.048077 0.088244 0.146884 0.234369 0.356858 0.517417 0.738396
2025-04-06 0.043437 0.083139 0.142672 0.233349 0.362452 0.533974 0.772729
2025-04-13 0.038882 0.077887 0.138082 0.231802 0.367596 0.550545 0.808184
2025-04-20 0.035689 0.074555 0.136131 0.233908 0.377803 0.574061 0.853265
2025-04-27 0.033948 0.073514 0.137610 0.241083 0.395340 0.607867 0.912738
2025-05-04 0.031061 0.070166 0.135178 0.242140 0.403959 0.629463 0.955983
2025-05-11 0.028980 0.068055 0.134562 0.245863 0.416458 0.656594 1.007155
2025-05-18 0.027931 0.067756 0.136874 0.254171 0.435873 0.693731 1.072645
2025-05-25 0.025129 0.063801 0.132760 0.252048 0.439522 0.708507 1.107277
2025-06-01 0.022974 0.060879 0.130190 0.252210 0.446504 0.728044 1.148738
2025-06-08 0.020786 0.057633 0.126812 0.250829 0.450969 0.743912 1.185162
2025-06-15 0.019730 0.056663 0.127417 0.256014 0.465649 0.774805 1.243252
2025-06-22 0.018064 0.054172 0.125071 0.256084 0.472249 0.793893 1.284703